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2011年6月11日星期六

Greece likely to obtain aid tranche (Reuters)

Athens/LUXEMBOURG (Reuters) - Greece is probably an essential part of the aid in July to avoid default, international donors said Friday, while the European Union has raised the possibility of extending the State of the eurozone rescue plan.

The European Commission, the European Central Bank and Monetary Fund International, ending a long month of their rescue program review 110 billion euros ($160 billion), said Athens had made considerable progress to repair its finances but must intensify tax and economic reforms.

"Once this process is completed, and the approval of the IMF Executive Council and the Eurogroup, the next slice will become available, most likely, early July,"they said."".

Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said that Athens will be unable to fulfil its obligations of mid-July if it does not get the next tranche of 12 billion euros rescue loans. Money was originally due for release on June 29.

Separately, the President of euro-zone Finance Ministers held the prospect of additional support for the Greece beyond the original rescue scheme, which was agreed in May of last year.

"I expect the Eurogroup to accept additional finance provided to the Greece under strict conditionality", Jean-Claude Juncker said after talks with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou at the Luxembourg.

The new plan will be for the first time understand the participation of investors in the private sector to help the Greece on a voluntary basis, said Juncker.

He did not detail and sources close to the talks, said the way in which private investors would be involved was still under intense debate between the EU and the ECB officials. A form any overturning of the debt, in which investors would maintain their exposure thanks to the purchase of existing Greek when bonds mature, appears the most likely.

Greek newspaper Kathimerini that, said a new rescue plan three years for the Greece, until 2014, would amount to 85 billion euros, which the European Union and the IMF would provide less than half. The remaining money would come from the sale of property of the Greek State and a reversal of the debt of the private sector, he said.

Greek and of other high-efficiency euro zone bonds rallied and application for refuge German debt fell as expected market makers would reach a deal of fresh rescue for the Greece. The euro reached a maximum of one month against the dollar.

Papandreou presented to Mr Juncker a budget medium-term plan featuring more deep spending cuts, measures to increase revenue, and a fast predatory of the property of the State, which will be managed by an independent body to privatization.

EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said recent budget commitments of the Greece were "essential" to restore the viability of its finances and could lead to additional support for Athens.

ITS TRAJECTORY

Athens has turned off the coast of course in its current programme of rescue because of a lack to win because of a deep recession and Chronicle of the evasion requiring additional measures, $ 6.4 billion euros or by 2.8 per cent of the domestic product crude this year.

The Greek Finance Ministry, said that the Government should finalize new tax measures in the coming days, put to Parliament after the Council of Ministers approves their.

The new face of measures increased the opposition of unions and protesters, as well as some members of bench back of Papandreou PASOK party to power Socialist Youth.

Leftists have organized a demonstration at the Ministry of finance in Athens Friday, hung a huge banner in the whole of the building to denounce the policies that would be "transformed modern slave workers."

During this time, an increase in EU funding for the Greece face resistance in the parliaments of the fiscally conservative Northern States, especially the Germany and the Netherlands.

Taxpayers in donor countries have so far supported the burden of the rescue of the Greece and his colleagues members of euro Ireland and the Portugal. EU officials feel now that the participation of private investors is important to secure political support for the new help in Athens.

KICK CAN ROAD DOWN

Some European politicians and economists believe that investors in bonds of the Greek Government should more that simply accept a reversal.

Claudio Loser, former Director of the Western Hemisphere for the IMF, said that the Fund should push more difficult for the Greece to the restructuring of its debt and negotiate the so-called "hair cut", or reductions in the value of the bonds with investors.

But the ECB has fought the idea, fearing, it triggers a violent chain reaction on financial markets well beyond Greek borders and provoke a conflict between European banks which hold large amounts of money in Greek debt.

A source involved in the negotiations, said that the participation of investors in the private sector in the new deal would be limited to avoid causing a "credit event". It is an event which inflict losses on holders of Greek bonds and lead to downgrades rating of the Greece credit or the initiation of contracts of insurance on its debt.

Most market economists surveyed by Reuters, however, believe EUR 340 billion debt mountain the Greece is not sustainable and should be restructured sooner or later. Without restructuring, bailout extended Athens simply save time without solving the underlying problem of the Greece.

"I believe (official lenders) have a plan in their head that is reasonable for kicking can, on the road for three months," said Gianluca Salford, strategist at JP Morgan European fixed income securities.

(Other reports by George Georgiopoulos and Lefteris Papadimas Athens, Marius Zaharia, Ana Nicolaci da Costa and Chloe Hayward in London.) Written by Paul Taylor. (Editing by Ruth Pitchford and Andrew Torchia)


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2011年5月8日星期日

Using Portugal terms likely to trigger 2 years of recession (Reuters)

Lisbon (Reuters) - terms and Conditions attached to a rescue of 78 billion euro of the Portugal indebted economy are likely to propel it into a deep recession two years ago, an official source said Wednesday.

Caretaker Prime Minister Jose Socrates has announced late Tuesday that the country had reached an agreement for three years with the European Union and the Monetary Fund rescue International after weeks of negotiations with the third country of the eurozone to ask for foreign aidAfter the Greece and the Ireland.

Officials of the European Union and the IMF have been the main opposition of the Portugal meet on Wednesday to obtain its agreement to the terms of the rescue plan, with the elections in a month.

Socrates says that the agreement represents a victory for Lisbon, because it avoided very strict measures including the Greece and the Ireland been saddled with when they were rescued last year.

But an official source said Reuters austerity measures to be included in the deal, such as an increase in taxes, point to a "contraction of 2% to the gross domestic product in 2011 and 2012."

That will make it even more difficult for the heavily indebted countries, which took some of the lowest growth rates in Europe for a decade, to overcome the crisis and return to financial health.

The source told Reuters will increase taxes on cars and property and there will be reductions in deductions on health, education and housing.

Jonathan Loynes, Chief European Economist at Capital Economics, also forecast a contraction of two percent this year.

"In this context, then the confirmation of rescue should reassure some that Portugal can meet its upcoming bond redemptions, it does put an end to speculation that - with the Greece and perhaps other - he must sooner or later to take a form any debt restructuring" he said.

The announcement of the agreement have provided relief in the bond market, where the Portuguese yields fell for the first time in several weeks.

Yields on bonds of 10 Portuguese, which hit a lifetime record euro 10.32% Tuesday, fell to about 10 per cent and the spread of German bunds fell to 677 707 Tuesday senior basis points.

Portugal was forced to seek a rescue plan after his Government collapsed last month, sending its soaring borrowing costs.

In a reminder of the challenges faces Portugal in the sale of the debt, it will hold an auction of Treasury bills Wednesday to issue up to 3 months bills EUR 1 billion.

12,284 DEFICIT OBJECTIVES

Lisbon has won some latitude for his drive to austerity of its lenders. The objective of this year's budget deficit was brought to 5.9% of the domestic product raw 4.6% previously.

That still represents a sharp cut, given the deficit amounted to 9.1 percent of GDP last year, and the agreement, it must be lowered to 4.5 per cent of GDP in 2012 and 3 per cent in 2013.

The rescue agreement includes up to€ 12 billion for the banking sector recapitalization and ordered banks to increase their ratios of core Tier 1 capital gradually to 10 per cent by the end of 2012, said the official source.

It is also considering 5.3 billion euros of revenues from privatization until 2013.

The package must broad cross-party support because the fall of the Government of Socrates last month means that the winner of the election General snap on June 5 it will implement.

Leader of the opposition Social Democrat Pedro Passos Coelho was to meet officials from the EU and the IMF later.

The rate of interest on the loan bailout of the Portugal should be defined at a meeting of Ministers of Finance of the eurozone in mid-May.

"Even if we have clarity regarding the amount, the more interesting detail will be the rate of interest that Portugal will have to pay on loans, so that we are still waiting to do this," said WestLB Michael Leister rates strategist.

Portuguese loan agreement is necessary before June 15, when Lisbon was to redeem 4.9 billion euros of bonds.

Representatives of the European Commission, the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund were in Lisbon for about a month to forge the agreement.

(Reported by Sergio Goncalves; writing by Axel Bugge, editing by Mike Peacock)


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